Celtics vs. Heat Game 5 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds – May 1

DataSkrive

In Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Boston Celtics will meet the Miami Heat. The Celtics take on the Heat in a game that Boston is currently a double-digit favorite by 14.5 points. The game has a total point of 200.5.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Celtics-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, May 1, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET
• Onde: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
• TV: TNT, NBCS-BOS, and BSSUN

Celtics vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Celtics (- 14.5)
O/U Pick: Over (200.5)
Score Prediction: Celtics 119 – Heat 104

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Insights

• The Celtics and their opponents have combined to score over 200.5 points, the current matchup’s point total, in 80 of 82 games this year.
• This year, 70 of the Heat’s 82 total matchups have gone over 200.5 total points scored.
• Between them, these two teams average 30.2 more points per game (230.7) than this game’s over/under (200.5).
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 17.1 more points per game, 217.6, than this matchup’s over/under of 200.5 points.
• Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 78 games this year and has walked away with the win 62 times (79.5%) in those games.
• Miami has been victorious in 11, or 31.4%, of the 35 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Boston has come out on top in six of its last seven head-to-head meetings with Miami.
• The Celtics have an advantage against the spread as well (4-3) when taking on the Heat.

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Boston and its opponents have combined to score an average of 216.4 points in their last 10 games, 15.9 more than the 200.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Celtics have played 82 games, with 42 wins against the spread.
• Boston has been favored by 14.5 points or more 12 teams this season and are 7-5 ATS in those matchups.
• Celtics games this year have gone over the point total 43 times in 82 opportunities (52.4%).
• The 120.6 points per game the Celtics average are 12.2 more points than the Heat give up (108.4).
• When Boston puts up more than 108.4 points, it is 40-25-3 against the spread and 58-10 overall.
• The Celtics are shooting 48.7% from the field this season, 2.0 percentage points higher than the 46.7% the Heat allow to opponents.
• Against the spread, the Celtics have fared better at home, covering 23 teams in 41 home games, and 19 teams in 41 road games.
• In terms of over/unders, Boston hits the over more consistently when playing at home, as it has gone over the total 22 times in 41 opportunities this season (53.7%). On the road, it has hit the over 21 times in 41 opportunities (51.2%).
• The Celtics have won a higher percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 37-4 (.902). In road games as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 25-12 (.676).

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jayson Tatum posts 26.9 points, 8.1 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.6 blocks.
• Jaylen Brown averages 23.0 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game, shooting 49.9% from the field and 35.4% from downtown with 2.1 made treys per contest.
• Derrick White posts 15.2 points, 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 1.2 blocks.
• Kristaps Porzingis puts up 20.1 points, 7.2 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.9 blocks.
• Jrue Holiday puts up 12.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.8 assists per contest, shooting 48.0% from the floor and 42.9% from beyond the arc (seventh in league) with 2.0 made 3-pointers per contest.

Celtics Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Miami’s average total over the last 10 games is 13.7 points greater than the 200.5 total given for this matchup.
• The Heat have 41 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• Heat games this year have hit the over on 35 of 82 set point totals (42.7%).
• The Heat score an average of 110.1 points per game, just 0.9 more points than the 109.2 the Celtics give up to opponents.
• Miami has put together a 28-12-1 ATS record and a 33-8 overall record in games it scores more than 109.2 points.
• The Heat’s 46.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.2 percentage points higher than the Celtics have allowed to their opponents (45.3%).
• In 2023-24 against the spread, the Heat will have a lower winning percentage at home (.390, 16-25-0 record) than on the road (.610, 25-14-2).
• In 2023-24, a higher percentage of Miami’s games have finished above the over/under at home (51.2%, 21 of 41) compared to on the road (34.1%, 14 of 41).
• The Heat’s winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .710 (22-9), and on the road it is .812 (13-3).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo is averaging 19.3 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game. He’s also sinking 52.1% of his shots from the floor.
• Jaime Jaquez is putting up 11.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. He’s draining 48.9% of his shots from the floor.
• Duncan Robinson is averaging 12.9 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. He is draining 45.0% of his shots from the floor and 39.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 treys per contest.
• Tyler Herro gets the Heat 20.8 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game while averaging 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• The Heat are getting 10.0 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game from Caleb Martin this year.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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